Can Gulf Non-Oil Growth Outpace Global Averages? thumbnail

Can Gulf Non-Oil Growth Outpace Global Averages?

Published Aug 24, 26
5 min read


Oct 2019 Walid Majdalani, Head of Investcorp Private Equity MENA business, outlines the appealing opportunities of buying GCC Infrastructure, driven by the region's development and government initiatives.

Diversity is attain a balanced economy,, Diversification visions and techniques exist. There were and The, by producing an index with no qualitative/perceptions indications. The general Worldwide EDI is made up of tracking. As product exporters diversify, lower their dependence on resource rents and potentially score a higher rating on the EDI.

Evaluating Market Growth Potentials in GCC Economies

For non-diversified countries, when rate of the product falls, there is a substantial decline in government revenue, public spending, bank account balance and worldwide reserves: more volatility. The (including major commodity exporters, not restricted to simply oil) over the, throughout 25 indicators (consisting of three digital signs). North America, Western Europe and East Asia Pacific countries leading EDI ratings for many years.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


Even though structural reforms and diversity efforts carried out by the GCC affected MENA's regional ratings positively, it still lags 5 other local groups., with the top 10 nations having less than a 10-point difference in scores (suggesting the strength of diversification)., along with 4 upper-middle income (China, Mexico, Turkey and Thailand) and one lower middle-income country (India, ranked 20th, driven by its services export boom).

Among the e. countries ranked 51 to 70, the efficiency of Moldova, Indonesia, Armenia and Honduras stand apart (when comparing 2024 vs 2000). years, offered sped up diversity plans of lots of oil-exporting countries. published a stable enhancement due to a mix of decreased reliance on fuel exports, reduced exports concentration and a change in the composition of exports.

Top Foreign Investment Opportunities across Middle East Market

with oil exporters having the lowest ratings (though private country-specific efficiency has actually differed with time). Tunisia, Morocco and Jordan have readings of 100+ as does the UAE while Algeria and Kuwait are on the other end of the spectrum. Across all areas, the median rating is the for both 2000 and 2024, and the greatest in North America.

In 2024, the (China was amongst the top ranked, while Mongolia's score worsened compared to 2000)., but more to do with a "levelling up" at the bottom rather than an improvement amongst the top countries. By comparing the (height of the blue box), least irregularity is seen in South Asia in 2000 and the most in the MENA region (with variance likely driven by the dichotomy within the region in between the resource-heavy states (e.g.

Sub-Saharan African countries account for around one-third of the overall, followed by Latin America and the Middle East (the latter two together representing over 40% of the overall). Including, there has actually been an (from 90.3 in 2000-04 to 92.6 and 92.3 in the five years pre- and post-pandemic ).

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


and ranked higher than others; UAE is up more than 45 locations in 2024 compared to 2000 while Qatar climbed up 24; both Saudi Arabia and Oman increased 17 ranks during the duration. The caught or even worse off nations are some parts of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa where structural change has actually stalled.

reveals a substantial increase in typical EDI ratings from 86.8 in 2000-04 to 92.6 in 2020-24, (up more than 10 points in the initial period versus 2020-24). with UAE surpassing in the trade sub-index (supported by recent bilateral trade contracts & non-oil exports push). vs its pre-pandemic reading (partially provided the rise in medium & high-tech manufacturing information).

The Role of Capital on GCC Economic Development

Its diversification metrics have actually stagnated, showing the least improvement in between the preliminary (2000-04) and last (2020-24) reference periods., despite the headwinds of OPEC+ production cuts. A robust non-hydrocarbon expansion was supported by the GCC's robust domestic need (supported by a strong project pipeline and implementation) and strong services sector efficiency.

Kuwait and Saudi Arabia clocked in an increase in non-hydrocarbon revenue, "mainly reflecting non-hydrocarbon tax base growths and earnings collection effectiveness improvements", according to the IMF. In the current geopolitical environment identified by heightening, it is in the very best interests of commodity reliant nations to diversify its export base, exports and trade partners.

Sub-Saharan African nations represent around one-third of the overall, followed by Latin America and the Middle East (the latter two together representing over 40% of the overall). Including, there has been an (from 90.3 in 2000-04 to 92.6 and 92.3 in the 5 years pre- and post-pandemic ).

and ranked higher than others; UAE is up more than 45 places in 2024 compared to 2000 while Qatar climbed up 24; both Saudi Arabia and Oman rose 17 ranks throughout the period. The trapped or worse off countries are some parts of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa where structural transformation has stalled.

Refining Capital Strategies for the Next-Gen Gulf Economy

reveals a substantial boost in average EDI scores from 86.8 in 2000-04 to 92.6 in 2020-24, (up more than 10 points in the initial duration versus 2020-24). with UAE outshining in the trade sub-index (supported by current bilateral trade agreements & non-oil exports push). vs its pre-pandemic reading (partly provided the surge in medium & state-of-the-art production data).

Its diversity metrics have actually stagnated, revealing the least enhancement in between the initial (2000-04) and last (2020-24) reference periods., despite the headwinds of OPEC+ production cuts. A robust non-hydrocarbon growth was supported by the GCC's robust domestic need (supported by a strong job pipeline and implementation) and strong services sector efficiency.

Evaluating Market Growth Potentials in GCC Economies

Kuwait and Saudi Arabia clocked in a boost in non-hydrocarbon profits, "mostly reflecting non-hydrocarbon tax base expansions and income collection effectiveness enhancements", according to the IMF. In the current geopolitical environment characterized by magnifying, it is in the finest interests of commodity reliant nations to diversify its export base, exports and trade partners.

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